Treating declining numbers.

     Hopefully it's obvious that this depends a good deal on having some kind of accurate
     diagnosis of the problem.

     But then, what next?

     I. If at all possible, then any treatment should be evaluated.

          - Often several treatments are tried at once - some method should be found for
          evaluating the different treatments and deciphering which is actually working (if
          not both).

          - The text mentions two main objections to treatment evaluations:

               1) Lack of time - sometimes, it is argued, a species is in so much trouble
               that there isn't time for an experimental design.  Quite rightly, the
               response is "if there's time for a treatment, there's time for some kind of
               experimental design".

               2) Lack of numbers - sometimes the numbers are so low that statistics may
               not help much.  The response here is silly:

                    - "statistics is the mathematics of low numbers ?????"  No,
                    statistics work on even very large numbers (and most tests gain
                    power with larger samples).  

                    - A better response might be that statistics still work on
                    surprisingly low numbers.  Sometimes even a sample size of 6 or 7
                    can yields statistically significant results.  True, you gain power the
                    higher your sample size, but this shouldn't stop you from trying.

                    - Further, if you have statistical evidence that your treatment is
                    working you are on much firmer scientific ground than otherwise.

               But if (1) and (2) are both a problem, then one might be justified in doing
               everything one can in the near term to try and save the species and then
               worrying about treatment designs etc. at a later date.  Still, the step of
               evaluating treatments should not be ignored, just postponed.

               Also, by setting up an elaborate analysis to test treatments, it should be
               kept in mind that some "treatments" may not work very well (quite
               obviously so in many cases), and there's a strong argument that with
               endangered species one shouldn't be "throwing away" individuals by
               subjecting them to obviously less effective treatments just so these
               treatments can be evaluated.  Again, this is less of a problem if numbers
               are a little higher and things aren't so urgent.

               It is important to evaluate treatments, just use a little common sense when
               doing so.

     An example of what is meant by evaluating treatments (hypothetical):

          Box 9.1

          In this hypothetical populations, two factors are thought to contribute to the
          decline of the imaginary parrot:

               - introduction of rats

               - removal of nesting possibilities by logging

          So there are two "obvious" treatments available:

               - rat exclusion devices

               - supplemental nest boxes

          So provide four test sites to test all possible outcomes (rearranged from your text):

                              Rat exclusion devices present

                                   yes       no

          Supplemental        yes                 
          nests                         (two sites for each combination)
          available      no

     
          Measure the number of fledglings per treatment, then evaluate to see if it's rat
          exclusion devices or supplemental nesting (or both) that help the most.  The book
          is not quite right when it says that if the factors interact that the answer is
          ambiguous - it's just a little more difficult to deal with.

               - It might, for example, indicate that rats or loss of nesting are not
               important on their own, just that if the parrots are subjected to both do they
               become important.  In that case one might decide to exclude rats or
               provide supplemental nesting boxes, but that both aren't needed.

          This is a nice hypothetical example since it clearly illustrates some of the points
          made above:

               If the parrot is in serious trouble should we really leave any in totally
               exposed conditions simply to test our design?

               If numbers and time are both critically low, does it make sense to go
               through all this?

               On the other hand, we've gained very valuable information, and we can't
               really expect our species to recover until we've identified the best
               treatment.

                    - If we decide the population is so critical that we need to resort to
                    captive breeding, we will most likely not be successful in re-
                    introductions until we've made sure we've eliminated the cause.

          Note also the overlap between treatments and determining the cause of the decline
          as discussed previously.
          
     II. Supplementing resources

          Here we're concerned with preserving or supplementing some limiting resource
          (and then evaluate the effect it has on the population).

          There are two categories of resource use:

               1) Pre-emptive: use of this resource prevents other animals from using it
               (e.g., woodpeckers and nesting holes)

               2) Consumptive: reduces the use of a resource for other animals (e.g.,
               feeding stations for vultures).

          A) Management of breeding sites:

               This covers lots of ground, for example:

                    - managing breeding ponds for amphibians

                    - making sure enough trees are around for cavity nesters

                    - making sure enough beaches are around for sea turtles

                    - making sure access to breeding sites is still open (e.g., fish
                    ladders).

               Many of these could be supplemented or protected fairly easily by
               providing artificial ponds, nest boxes, staking off nesting beaches, etc.

          B) Management to supplement food:

               This is a little obvious - if food is thought to be limiting the population,
               then supplement food.

               One needs to be careful to provide the correct diet.  Nice example of Cape
               griffon vultures - they needed bone as well as meat, and initially all they
               were offered was meat.

                    - the young did not develop normally due to lack of calcium.

                    - once bone splinters were added to supplemental feeding
                    carcasses, this problem went away.

               It's often better (for both the habitat and cost) to try to re-establish the
               environment to provide the missing food.  

               Supplementing food requires an on-going effort (more so than with
               managing breeding sites, since food often will need to be provided daily).

          C) Management to supplement shelter:

               Again, this is a broad area.  Anything from refuges to sleeping places or
               refuges to evade predators can be included here.

                    - Black footed ferret needs the prairie dog for shelter (and food!)

                    - The numbat declined partially because there was no place for it to
                    escape from predators

                    - Deforestation is kind of obvious - lots of animals loose shelter.

                    - A neat example of bats:

                         - Some bats require undisturbed caves in which to hibernate

                         - Human activities in caves can cause them to come out of
                         hibernation prematurely; they may not have enough energy
                         to go back into hibernation and wake up at the end of spring
                         (not enough fat reserves).

                         - closing off the caves initially made the situation worse.

                              - prevented cool air from getting into the cave, so
                              hibernating bats were more active (too warm - the
                              same reason they wake up when humans disturb the
                              cave).

                         - replacing seals to the cave with bars solved the problem
                         (this isn't specifically mentioned in the text).

          Note that many of these "supplementation" methods are labor intensive and will
          require on ongoing commitment (even the bars on caves are generally opened
          during the spring - fall so that spelunkers have access).

     III. Controlling population loss directly

          A) Legislation.  

               Obviously, if overharvesting is a problem, then one of two things can be
               tried:

                    1) legislating the level of the harvest

                    2) prohibiting the harvest all together

               But legislating this is only the first step.  It will also require some kind of
               enforcement and more importantly, education, to be effective.

               Particularly when harvesting is prohibited, steps should be taken to reduce
               its desirability by:

                    - lowering it's value

                    - ensure penalties outweigh benefits.

               Enforcement has in some cases required extreme intervention:

                    - guarding the animal 24 hours a day (rhino)

                    - guarding nests during nesting season

                    - employing helicopter gunships

               The extreme high price of something (e.g. rhino horn) can cause
               legislation and even enforcement to be less effective.  Other things
               sometimes are tried, for example in the case of the rhino:

                    - removing horns to reduce their desirability to poachers (mixed
                    success - some poachers will shoot them anyway, and horns re-
                    grow quickly).  This may also adversely affect the rhino.

                    - providing substitute products made from water buffalo horn
                    instead of rhino horn

                    - incidentally, the number one reason for getting rhino horns is not
                    for its use as an aphrodisiac, but rather as its use in "dagger"
                    handles in oil rich gulf states (it doesn't seem like water buffalo
                    will do the trick here).

               Legislating for sustainable yield is difficult:

                    - What is sustainable yield?  Sometimes there's little data, and the
                    best one can do is "guess".

                    - Nevertheless, an approach used by some countries to limit
                    exports by past "average" export levels is silly.

               Often, the only way to really help with legislation is to educate the local
               people.  Some examples:

                    - Parrots in the Eastern Caribbean started to recover once folks
                    understood that what was happening the parrots (too many were
                    being exported for the pet trade).

                    - Banded iguana in Fiji - for reasons not explained in the text, the
                    local population had many misconceptions about the banded
                    iguana and were killing them.  After introducing the iguana to
                    school children, killings let off.

               But still, what does one do about the tiger?

                    - Highly endangered, and yet the local people justifiably are afraid
                    of tigers (there have been numerous man-eating tigers in India's
                    history, and even today the trend continues).

               Supplementing wild populations with captive raised populations for the
               purposes of reducing trade in wild populations also works.

                    - Often products from captive raised individuals help to offset the
                    pressure on wild populations.

                    - Sometimes obstinacy still gets in the way:

                         - products made from the musk deer are considered
                         superior if they come from wild populations (book doesn't
                         say, but these are probably medicinal products used in
                         traditional medicine).

                              - Traditional medicine, particularly in China, has
                              had a large negative impact on many wild
                              populations.

                         - incidentally, this can even be a disincentive for
                         conservation, since there are now captive populations
                         leading many to ask "why bother conserving the wild
                         populations".

               Finally, a word on reserves (more later).

                    These are only as successful as enforcement and attitudes of people
                    living around the reserves permit.

                         Without both, the reserves can be less than effective.

                    Even in the U.S., we sometimes have problems:

                         - Poaching takes place all the time.

                         - The attitudes of people living around Yellowstone are not
                         always good - with the re-introduction of wolves to
                         Yellowstone a lot of folks were complaining.

          B) Controlling predators

               [continued]